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Jeenyo vs Gaadiidka

Somalia Somalia

National league
Jeenyo Logo

Jeenyo

2 - 3
FT
Gaadiidka Logo

Gaadiidka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Jeenyo and Gaadiidka finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gaadiidka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Jeenyo
30%
Draws
43%
Gaadiidka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Gaadiidka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gaadiidka have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jeenyo Clean Sheet 10%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeenyo Gaadiidka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.57 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Jeenyo
2:0
May 5, 2026 National league
Jeenyo vs Gaadiidka
2:3
Feb 28, 2025 National league
Jeenyo vs Gaadiidka
0:2
Dec 16, 2024 National league
Gaadiidka vs Jeenyo
2:0
Jun 24, 2024 National league
Jeenyo vs Gaadiidka
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeenyo 34 / 100
Gaadiidka 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeenyo Gaadiidka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaadiidka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeenyo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Jeenyo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gaadiidka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jeenyo VS Gaadiidka
0.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeenyo

(Home)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
20 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Raadsan
16 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Heegan
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

Gaadiidka

(Away)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)