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Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo
Jeju SK Logo

Jeju SK

Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Gwangju FC Logo

Gwangju FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jeju SK host Gwangju FC in the K League 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Gwangju FC have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Jeju SK have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.34. Past meetings favor Jeju SK slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.56) point toward Jeju SK. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Jeju SK
30%
Draws
47%
Gwangju FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gwangju FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jeju SK come out ahead of Gwangju FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gwangju FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 15%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeju SK Gwangju FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.34 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.28 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeju SK
0:1
Jul 26, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeju SK
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeju SK
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeju SK 23 / 100
Gwangju FC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeju SK Gwangju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gwangju FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jeju SK scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Gwangju FC conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Jeju SK remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jeju SK VS Gwangju FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeju SK

(Home)
24 Oct
Incheon
3 : 1
Jeju SK
18 Oct
Jeonbuk
3 : 2
Jeju SK
10 Oct
Seoul
2 : 1
Jeju SK
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
12 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 2
Jeju SK
Page 1 of 6

Gwangju FC

(Away)
24 Oct
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 3
Gwangju FC
18 Oct
Daejeon
3 : 2
Gwangju FC
11 Oct
Gwangju FC
4 : 3
Ulsan Hyundai
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
13 Sept
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Anyang
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Jeju SK 33 12 10 11 39:37 46
8 Anyang 33 10 13 10 40:48 43
9 Pohang 33 11 9 13 30:39 42
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 34 5 20 9 34:42 35
11 Bucheon FC 1995 33 7 11 15 32:47 32
12 Gwangju FC 34 3 13 18 31:70 22
Relegation - K League 2 2027 (Main)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation)