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Jeju SK vs Seoul Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Park Chang-Jun
Assist: Emerson Negueba
37'
Sub
Park Chang-Jun In: Kim Jun-ha
Out: Park Chang-Jun
46'
Sub
Yu In-Soo In: Rim Chang-Woo
Out: Yu In-Soo

AI Match Summary

Jeju SK in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jeju SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Jeju SK
20%
Draws
28%
Seoul
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jeju SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Seoul have won more games recently than Jeju SK.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Jeju SK taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Jeju SK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 68%
Seoul Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeju SK Seoul
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Seoul
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Seoul
1:2
Jul 23, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Seoul
3:2
May 31, 2025 K League 1
Seoul vs Jeju SK
1:3
Feb 15, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Seoul
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Chang-Jun
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Jun-ha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Seoul Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeju SK 77 / 100
Seoul 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeju SK Seoul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jeju SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeju SK scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Jeju SK has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Seoul's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jeju SK VS Seoul
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeju SK

(Home)
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
12 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 2
Jeju SK
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
05 Sept
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
30 Aug
Jeju SK
3 : 1
Daejeon
Page 1 of 6

Seoul

(Away)
20 Sept
Pohang
2 : 1
Seoul
16 Sept
Seoul
0 : 1
Persib Bandung
12 Sept
Jeonbuk
1 : 2
Seoul
08 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 0
Seoul
05 Sept
Seoul
1 : 0
Incheon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)