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Jeju SK vs Suwon Bluewings

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 2025 Jeju World Cup Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jeju SK play Suwon Bluewings in the K League 1 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jeju SK averaged 1 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Suwon Bluewings averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Jeju SK won 4, Suwon Bluewings won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 7, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Jeju SK and 1.31 for Suwon Bluewings. This points to a Suwon Bluewings double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Jeju SK
17%
Draws
45%
Suwon Bluewings
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Suwon Bluewings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Jeju SK picked up more points recently compared to Suwon Bluewings.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 18%
Suwon Bluewings Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeju SK Suwon Bluewings
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Suwon Bluewings
2:0
Dec 3, 2025 K League 1
Suwon Bluewings vs Jeju SK
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Suwon Bluewings
2:0
Aug 18, 2023 K League 1
Suwon Bluewings vs Jeju SK
1:0
May 27, 2023 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Suwon Bluewings
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Seung-Sub
1 Goals
Assists Leader Italo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Suwon Bluewings Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeju SK 38 / 100
Suwon Bluewings 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeju SK Suwon Bluewings

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Suwon Bluewings or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jeju SK attacking → ← attacking Suwon Bluewings

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeju SK scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Suwon Bluewings let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Jeju SK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Suwon Bluewings lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 52
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50