Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jeju SK vs Ulsan Hyundai

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Jeju World Cup Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jeju SK play Ulsan Hyundai in the K League 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jeju SK averaged 1 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. Ulsan Hyundai averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Jeju SK won 1, Ulsan Hyundai won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Jeju SK and 1.25 for Ulsan Hyundai. This points to a Ulsan Hyundai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Jeju SK
15%
Draws
49%
Ulsan Hyundai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulsan Hyundai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Jeju SK picked up more points recently compared to Ulsan Hyundai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 19%
Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeju SK Ulsan Hyundai
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju SK
2:1
Mar 18, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Ulsan Hyundai
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju SK
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju SK
1:0
May 11, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Ulsan Hyundai
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeju SK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ulsan Hyundai Compare

Top Goalscorer Jung Seung-Hyun
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yago Cariello
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeju SK 36 / 100
Ulsan Hyundai 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeju SK Ulsan Hyundai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ulsan Hyundai or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jeju SK attacking → ← attacking Ulsan Hyundai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeju SK scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Ulsan Hyundai let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Jeju SK went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ulsan Hyundai lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 42
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Seoul15102327:1232
2Ulsan Hyundai1582522:2026
3Jeonbuk1575321:1226
4Gangwon1566319:1024
5Pohang1564512:1222
6Incheon1563621:1721
7Anyang1548319:1620
8Jeju SK1553713:1618
9Bucheon FC 19951545611:1517
10Daejeon1544717:1616
11Gimcheon Sangmu1528515:2114
12Gwangju FC1514107:377