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Jekabpils SC vs Riga United

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2015/2016
Sun, Jul 5, 2015
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jekabpils SC in this Latvian Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Jekabpils SC
15%
Draws
42%
Riga United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jekabpils SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jekabpils SC lately — more wins on the board than Riga United.
  • Model gives Riga United a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Jekabpils SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jekabpils SC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jekabpils SC Clean Sheet 10%
Riga United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jekabpils SC Riga United
Matches Played 15 17
Wins 10 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.27 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.33 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2015 Latvian Cup
Jekabpils SC vs Riga United
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jekabpils SC 22 / 100
Riga United 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jekabpils SC Riga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jekabpils SC scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Defensive concern: Riga United conceded in 76% of 17 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jekabpils SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jekabpils SC VS Riga United
2 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jekabpils SC

(Home)
15 Jul
Jekabpils SC
0 : 6
Alberts JDFS
23 Jun
Jekabpils SC
3 : 1
Ogre United
11 Jun
Jekabpils SC
:
FK Limbazi
27 May
Salaspils FK
1 : 3
Jekabpils SC
10 Jul
Skanste
6 : 1
Jekabpils SC
Page 1 of 3

Riga United

(Away)
21 Jun
Riga United
0 : 3
Marupe
01 Jun
Speks
0 : 3
Riga United
18 May
Riga United
6 : 0
SK Babite
29 May
LSPA
2 : 0
Riga United
19 May
Riga United
3 : 2
Kadaga/Ostas
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
TBD -
Super Nova 0
Grobina 3
Saldus -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adazi -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Upesciems -
TBD -
TBD -
Fortuna -
FK Bandava -
TBD -
TBD -
Salaspils FK -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Lacplesis -
Balvu SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Monarhs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Kalnciema Lideris 4
Ludzas NSS 1
TBD -
Ogre -
Lielupe 2
Priekuli 1
TBD -
Valmiera -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
Marienburg -
Riga United 3
Rinuzi 0
TBD -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Dobele -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
Bebri -
TBD -
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
Preilu BJSS -
TBD -
Nica FC 1
Kuldigas NSS 3
JFC Dobele -
TBD -
TBD -
Compact.LV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS 10
Grobina 0
Saldus 0
Riga FC 5
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
Adazi 1
SK Babite 3
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Upesciems 6
Fortuna 1
FK Bandava 0
Salaspils FK 3
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Lacplesis 0
Balvu SC 1
Monarhs 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Kalnciema Lideris 3
Ogre 0
Lielupe 0
Valmiera 7
Rezekne -
Marienburg -
Riga United 1
Jekabpils SC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Dobele 1
FK Alberts 0
Bebri 1
Alberts JDFS 3
Preilu BJSS 4
Kuldigas NSS 0
JFC Dobele 0
Compact.LV 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
1/16-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
AFA Olaine 5
Tukums 2000 2
FK Smiltene 1
SK Babite 3
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
Upesciems 0
Salaspils FK 3
FK Auda Riga 3
Monarhs 1
TBD -
Ventspils -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
SK Kalnciema Lideris 1
Valmiera 10
Rezekne 2
Jekabpils SC 1
TBD -
FK Metta -
Skonto -
TBD -
FK Dobele 1
Alberts JDFS 8
Preilu BJSS 5
Compact.LV 2
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 1
Riga FC 0
AFA Olaine 0
SK Babite 1
FK Liepaja 4
Salaspils FK 0
FK Auda Riga 0
Ventspils 7
BFC Daugavpils 2
Valmiera 0
Rezekne 0
FK Metta 4
Skonto 4
Alberts JDFS 0
Preilu BJSS 1
Spartaks Jurmala 6
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 3
SK Babite 2
FK Liepaja 0
Ventspils 1
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Metta 0
Skonto 1
Spartaks Jurmala 3
Semi-finals
Jelgava 2
Ventspils 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
Final
Jelgava 1
Spartaks Jurmala 0