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Jelgava U19 vs MTK Budapest U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava
Jelgava U19 Logo

Jelgava U19

0 - 1
FT
MTK Budapest U19 Logo

MTK Budapest U19

Our Tip

Match Events

50'
Burkans R.
51'
Peilans M.
64'
Sub
Barkoczi B. In: Vasvari Z.
Out: Barkoczi B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with MTK Budapest U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Jelgava U19
15%
Draws
75%
MTK Budapest U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MTK Budapest U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MTK Budapest U19 come out ahead of Jelgava U19 on wins alone.
  • MTK Budapest U19 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • MTK Budapest U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor MTK Budapest U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Jelgava U19 Clean Sheet 12%
MTK Budapest U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jelgava U19 MTK Budapest U19
Matches Played 4 15
Wins 0 5
Draws 1 3
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 0.5 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Jelgava U19 vs MTK Budapest U19
0:1
Sep 14, 2022 UEFA Youth League
MTK Budapest U19 vs Jelgava U19
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jelgava U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

MTK Budapest U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovacs M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jelgava U19 14 / 100
MTK Budapest U19 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jelgava U19 MTK Budapest U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Budapest U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: MTK Budapest U19 conceded in 80% of 15 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Jelgava U19 scored in 25% of their last 4 games.

Recent resilience: Jelgava U19 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jelgava U19 VS MTK Budapest U19
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jelgava U19

(Home)
01 Oct
KA Akureyri U19
1 : 0
Jelgava U19
17 Sept
Jelgava U19
2 : 2
KA Akureyri U19
05 Oct
Jelgava U19
0 : 1
MTK Budapest U19
14 Sept
MTK Budapest U19
3 : 0
Jelgava U19

MTK Budapest U19

(Away)
08 Feb
MTK Budapest U19
0 : 1
Ajax U19
02 Nov
MTK Budapest U19
0 : 1
SC Ashdod U19
26 Oct
SC Ashdod U19
0 : 2
MTK Budapest U19
05 Oct
Jelgava U19
0 : 1
MTK Budapest U19
14 Sept
MTK Budapest U19
3 : 0
Jelgava U19
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
AZ Alkmaar U19 6
Shamrock U19 1
Omonia U19 1
Crvena zvezda U19 3
Molde U19 2
Hibernian U19 3
Nantes U19 5
Pyunik Yerevan U19 0
Young Boys U19 5
Domzale U19 2
AIK U19 8
Racing Luxembourg U19 2
Genk U19 5
Slavia Prague U19 4
Coleraine U19 5
Pobeda U19 4
Slavia Sofia U19 2
Panathinaikos U19 10
Zalgiris U19 2
Trencin U19 5
FC Astana U19 2
Apolonia Fier U19 4
Hajduk Split U19 5
Gabala U19 1
Miercurea Ciuc U19 1
Galatasaray U19 5
Rukh Lviv U19 1
Zaglebie U19 0
SC Ashdod U19 5
Borac Banja Luka U19 0
MTK Budapest U19 4
Jelgava U19 0
Final
AZ Alkmaar U19 4
Crvena zvezda U19 3
Hibernian U19 3
Nantes U19 1
Young Boys U19 4
AIK U19 3
Genk U19 10
Coleraine U19 1
Panathinaikos U19 6
Trencin U19 3
Apolonia Fier U19 1
Hajduk Split U19 6
Galatasaray U19 2
Rukh Lviv U19 6
SC Ashdod U19 1
MTK Budapest U19 2