Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2011/2012

Jelgava

3 - 1

Olimps Riga

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Jelgava advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Jelgava

15%

Draws

Olimps Riga

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jelgava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Jelgava come out ahead of Olimps Riga on wins alone.
Win probability leans Jelgava's way, sitting at 90%.
Jelgava have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Jelgava, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Jelgava here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Jelgava Clean Sheet 18%

Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jelgava	Olimps Riga
Matches Played	47	30
Wins	21	1
Draws	9	3
Losses	17	26
Goals Scored	1.53	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.28	3.6
Expected Goals (xG)	1.48	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2011 Virsliga

Olimps Riga vs Jelgava

1:3

Sep 14, 2011 Virsliga

Jelgava vs Olimps Riga

2:1

Jul 31, 2011 Latvian Cup

Jelgava vs Olimps Riga

3:1

Jul 10, 2011 Virsliga

Olimps Riga vs Jelgava

1:3

May 15, 2011 Virsliga

Jelgava vs Olimps Riga

5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jelgava 85 / 100

Olimps Riga 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jelgava Olimps Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jelgava Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimps Riga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Olimps Riga lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Jelgava found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (46 games).

Scoring Trends

Jelgava VS -

1.75 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jelgava

(Home)

19 Sept

Jelgava

0 : 1

Riga FC

12 Sept

Grobina

0 : 0

Jelgava

05 Sept

Jelgava

0 : 1

Super Nova

29 Aug

Tukums 2000

1 : 4

Jelgava

22 Aug

Ogre United

2 : 3

Jelgava

Page 1 of 10

Olimps Riga

(Away)

13 Nov

Spartaks Jurmala

2 : 0

Olimps Riga

10 Nov

Olimps Riga

1 : 2

Spartaks Jurmala

05 Nov

Olimps Riga

1 : 3

Jelgava

30 Oct

FC Jurmala

6 : 1

Olimps Riga

15 Oct

FK Daugava Riga

4 : 0

Olimps Riga

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Skonto -

TBD -

Zelis Gulbene -

TBD -

FK Dobele 0

Marupe 1

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Daugava Riga -

TBD -

Ozolnieki 4

Mersrags 0

Sigulda 0

FK Auda Riga 1

FK Aluksne 2

Bebri 0

Austrumi 1

Upesciems 2

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Ogre -

TBD -

Gulbene -

Jelgava -

TBD -

Olimps Riga -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

Avantis 3

FK Ergli 0

FK Olaine 0

Iecava 1

TBD -

Ventspils -

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

Grobina 1

Kekava 0

Aizkraukle 0

FK Smiltene 3

Brali 4

Jelgava/Jauniesi 3

Plavinas 3

FK Madona Kvarcs 1

FK 1625 Liepaja -

TBD -

Rezekne -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/64-finals

Skonto -

TBD -

Zelis Gulbene 3

Marupe 1

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Daugava Riga -

TBD -

Ozolnieki 2

FK Auda Riga 6

FK Aluksne 0

Upesciems 3

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Ogre -

TBD -

Gulbene -

Jelgava -

TBD -

Olimps Riga -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

Avantis 0

Iecava 3

TBD -

Ventspils -

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

Grobina -

FK Smiltene -

Brali 1

FK Madona Kvarcs 6

FK 1625 Liepaja -

TBD -

Rezekne -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/32-finals

Skonto -

TBD -

Zelis Gulbene 0

RFS 12

FK Metta 3

BFC Daugavpils 1

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Daugava Riga -

TBD -

Ozolnieki 4

Upesciems 1

FK Auda Riga 0

Tukums 2000 2

Valmiera 4

Ogre 0

TBD -

Gulbene -

Jelgava -

TBD -

Olimps Riga -

Spartaks Jurmala 5

Iecava 0

TBD -

Ventspils -

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

Grobina 0

FK Madona Kvarcs 1

FK 1625 Liepaja 2

Rezekne 0

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/16-finals

Skonto -

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Daugava Riga -

TBD -

Ozolnieki 0

Tukums 2000 3

Valmiera -

TBD -

Gulbene -

Jelgava -

TBD -

Olimps Riga -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

Ventspils -

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Madona Kvarcs -

FK 1625 Liepaja -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/8-finals

Skonto 2

RFS 0

FK Metta 0

FC Jurmala 3

FK Daugava Riga 4

Tukums 2000 0

Valmiera 1

Gulbene 3

Jelgava 3

Olimps Riga 1

Spartaks Jurmala 1

Ventspils 2

FC Daugava Daugavpils 11

FK Madona Kvarcs 0

FK 1625 Liepaja 1

FK Liepaja 3

Quarter-finals

Skonto 1

FC Jurmala 0

FK Daugava Riga 1

Gulbene 3

Jelgava 2

Ventspils 1

FC Daugava Daugavpils 0

FK Liepaja 1

Semi-finals

Skonto 1

Gulbene 0

Jelgava 1

FK Liepaja 4

Final

Skonto 2

FK Liepaja 1

Jelgava vs Olimps Riga

Latvia

Jelgava

Olimps Riga

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Jelgava

Olimps Riga

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA