Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Gubins A.
29'
29'
Grigaravicius M.
56'
56'
Paplavskis D.
AI Match Summary
Jelgava in this Latvian Cup 2013/2014 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rinuzi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Jelgava lately — more wins on the board than Rinuzi.
- Model gives Jelgava a 37% chance of winning this.
- Jelgava have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Jelgava, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 68%
Rinuzi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jelgava | Rinuzi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 9 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 2.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2013 Latvian Cup
Jelgava vs Rinuzi
6:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jelgava Compare
Top Goalscorer Gubins A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Grigaravicius M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Rinuzi Compare
Top Goalscorer Helackis R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jelgava 77 / 100
Rinuzi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jelgava Rinuzi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jelgava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rinuzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 9 matches.
Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Jelgava stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Jelgava found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Jelgava VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Jelgava
(Home) 12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0 Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1 Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4 Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3 Jelgava
09 Aug
Jelgava
0 : 1 FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1 Super Nova
09 Aug
Jelgava
0 : 1 FK Auda Riga
26 Jul
Jelgava
0 : 2 FK Liepaja
20 Jul
Jelgava
0 : 1 RFS
29 Jun
Jelgava
2 : 0 Grobina
Page 1 of 3
Rinuzi
(Away) 13 Jun
Riga United
3 : 0 Rinuzi
13 Jul
Rinuzi
0 : 2 FK Smiltene
06 Jul
SFK United
1 : 2 Rinuzi
20 Jun
FK Carnikava
4 : 5 Rinuzi
02 Jun
Rinuzi
7 : 2 Riga United
Page 1 of 2
13 Jun
Riga United
3 : 0 Rinuzi
06 Jul
SFK United
1 : 2 Rinuzi
20 Jun
FK Carnikava
4 : 5 Rinuzi
05 Jul
Jelgava
6 : 1 Rinuzi
03 Jun
Valka
2 : 4 Rinuzi
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
Rinuzi -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
Riga United 0
FK Olaine 4
Dinamo Riga 2
Kuldigas NSS 0
TBD -
Gulbene -
FC Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Marienburg 1
FK Dobele 3
Preilu BJSS 3
FK Smiltene 1
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Carnikava 3
Lerona Rita 6
Grobina 2
Ozolnieki 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
Saldus -
DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Ilukste -
Alberts JDFS 2
Plavinas 1
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe -
Upesciems 2
Kalupe 0
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
1/16-finals
Jelgava 6
Rinuzi 1
FK Auda Riga 0
Valmiera 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Olaine 0
Dinamo Riga 1
Gulbene 4
FC Jurmala 1
Rezekne 0
Jekabpils SC 0
Tukums 2000 1
Spartaks Jurmala 3
FK Dobele 0
Preilu BJSS 2
FK Liepaja 11
Skonto 8
FK Alberts 1
FK Metta 0
RFS 1
BFC Daugavpils 5
Lerona Rita 3
Grobina 0
FK Daugava Riga 8
Ventspils 6
Saldus 0
DSVK Traktors 0
FK Ilukste 8
Alberts JDFS 3
Vilki/Marupe 0
Upesciems 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
1/8-finals
Jelgava 3
Valmiera 1
FK 1625 Liepaja 2
Gulbene 3
FC Jurmala 5
Tukums 2000 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
FK Liepaja 4
Skonto 5
RFS 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Daugava Riga 3
Ventspils 3
FK Ilukste 0
Alberts JDFS 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 2
Gulbene 0
FC Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 2
Skonto 2
FK Daugava Riga 1
Ventspils 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 2
Semi-finals
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 0
Skonto 4
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
Final
Jelgava 1
Skonto 0
