Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jelgava vs Salaspils FK

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2022 Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Valmiers D.
20' Event
Pavlenko E.
29' Event
Caika D.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2022 game between Jelgava and Salaspils FK finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jelgava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Jelgava
28%
Draws
50%
Salaspils FK
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Salaspils FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Salaspils FK come out ahead of Jelgava on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Salaspils FK's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 10%
Salaspils FK Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jelgava Salaspils FK
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 3
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.75 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2022 Nakotnes liga
Jelgava vs Salaspils FK
4:2
Jul 17, 2022 Nakotnes liga
Salaspils FK vs Jelgava
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jelgava Compare

Top Goalscorer Sitjakovs R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Valmiers D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Salaspils FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlenko E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caika D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jelgava 22 / 100
Salaspils FK 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jelgava Salaspils FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Salaspils FK has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Jelgava found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: Jelgava remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jelgava VS Salaspils FK
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Jelgava

(Home)
20 Jul
Jelgava
0 : 1
RFS
12 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Jelgava
03 Jul
Riga FC
3 : 0
Jelgava
29 Jun
Jelgava
2 : 0
Grobina
25 Jun
Super Nova
1 : 5
Jelgava
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Salaspils FK

(Away)
20 Jun
Salaspils FK
1 : 3
Speks
30 May
Saldus NSS
0 : 4
Salaspils FK
21 Jun
Salaspils FK
4 : 5
Leevon PPK
01 Jun
RSU
0 : 6
Salaspils FK
18 May
Kuldigas/Goldingen
2 : 3
Salaspils FK
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jelgava26241176:1373
2Riga FC 226193484:2760
3Grobina26172785:3953
4Valmiera 226171890:3752
5RFS 226144875:4346
6Alberts JDFS26136738:2545
7Skanste26107934:4137
8AFA Olaine26741538:7225
9Salaspils FK26741540:7525
10Saldus SS/Leevon26651534:4923
11Tukums 2000 226641633:6622
12Dinamo Riga26641617:5722
13Rezekne26631733:7021
14FK Smiltene26441824:8716
Promotion - Optibet Virsliga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Optibet Virsliga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Relegation)