Sport Picks
Jelgava vs Super Nova
Latvia
Virsliga Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava 
AI Match Summary
Jelgava host Super Nova in the Virsliga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Jelgava have averaged 0.9 scored and 1.76 conceded recently, against Super Nova's 1.1 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Jelgava slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 25, 2026, ending 1:5. xG projections (1.50 - 1.31) back Super Nova to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Super Nova lately — more wins on the board than Jelgava.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Super Nova taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jelgava | Super Nova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Super Nova conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Super Nova has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Jelgava scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Jelgava
(Home)Super Nova
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 62:17 | 65 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 64 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 46 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | 34 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26:37 | 27 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:44 | 25 |
| 8 | Grobina | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:47 | 21 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 40:51 | 20 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 24:65 | 14 |
