Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jena vs Altglienicke

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Burmeister T.

AI Match Summary

Jena in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Jena
15%
Draws
42%
Altglienicke
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Jena have won more games recently than Altglienicke.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Jena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jena Clean Sheet 16%
Altglienicke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena Altglienicke
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 22 15
Draws 2 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 4.03 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Altglienicke
1:0
Mar 3, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Altglienicke
0:0
Aug 8, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Jena
2:1
Feb 28, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Altglienicke
2:2
Sep 11, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Jena
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jena Compare

Top Goalscorer Burmeister T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Altglienicke Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena 57 / 100
Altglienicke 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena Altglienicke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jena's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Altglienicke has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Jena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jena VS Altglienicke
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jena

(Home)
25 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
1 : 5
Jena
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
15 Sept
Hallescher
2 : 0
Jena
12 Sept
Jena
3 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
02 Sept
Jena
1 : 0
Altglienicke
Page 1 of 7

Altglienicke

(Away)
25 Sept
Magdeburg II
0 : 1
Altglienicke
19 Sept
Altglienicke
3 : 1
Rsv Eintracht
15 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 2
Altglienicke
11 Sept
Altglienicke
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
02 Sept
Jena
1 : 0
Altglienicke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
6 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
10 Zwickau 11 4 3 4 13:17 15
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
14 Chemie Leipzig 11 2 3 6 12:17 9
15 Hertha Berlin II 11 2 3 6 9:21 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 11 1 0 10 9:28 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)