Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jena vs Lokomotive Leipzig

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Wollschlager L.
8' Event
Ozturk E.
44'
Stein J.

AI Match Summary

Lokomotive Leipzig in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lokomotive Leipzig.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Jena
30%
Draws
29%
Lokomotive Leipzig
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Jena have won more games recently than Lokomotive Leipzig.
  • Model gives Jena a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jena Clean Sheet 19%
Lokomotive Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena Lokomotive Leipzig
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.29 1.67
Goals Conceded 1 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Lokomotive Leipzig
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Jena
1:2
Oct 1, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Lokomotive Leipzig
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Jena
3:0
Sep 15, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Lokomotive Leipzig
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jena Compare

Top Goalscorer Wollschlager L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Lokomotive Leipzig Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozturk E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adetula A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena 49 / 100
Lokomotive Leipzig 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena Lokomotive Leipzig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jena found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Lokomotive Leipzig has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Jena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jena VS Lokomotive Leipzig
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jena

(Home)
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
15 Sept
Hallescher
2 : 0
Jena
12 Sept
Jena
3 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
02 Sept
Jena
1 : 0
Altglienicke
28 Aug
Chemnitzer
1 : 1
Jena
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Lokomotive Leipzig

(Away)
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
16 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
2 : 2
BFC Dynamo
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3
Lokomotive Leipzig
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2
Aue
25 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 10 7 3 0 32:8 24
2 Chemnitzer 10 7 2 1 21:5 23
3 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
4 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
5 Aue 10 6 3 1 19:14 21
6 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
7 Hallescher 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 10 4 3 3 20:19 15
10 Zwickau 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 BFC Preussen 10 2 4 4 12:14 10
13 Babelsberg 10 2 3 5 11:15 9
14 Hertha Berlin II 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
15 Chemie Leipzig 10 1 3 6 10:16 6
16 Rsv Eintracht 10 1 3 6 13:25 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)