Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jena vs Luckenwalde

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Oduah E.

AI Match Summary

Jena in this Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jena
20%
Draws
29%
Luckenwalde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jena lately — more wins on the board than Luckenwalde.
  • Win probability leans Jena's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jena Clean Sheet 20%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena Luckenwalde
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 17 5
Draws 3 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.39 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Luckenwalde
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Jena
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Jena
0:1
Nov 1, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Luckenwalde
2:2
Feb 24, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Jena
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jena Compare

Top Goalscorer Oduah E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Luckenwalde Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena 85 / 100
Luckenwalde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena Luckenwalde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jena scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Luckenwalde has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Jena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jena VS Luckenwalde
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jena

(Home)
09 Aug
Jena
1 : 2
Erfurt
04 Aug
Jena
4 : 0
Rsv Eintracht
31 Jul
Babelsberg
0 : 1
Jena
26 Jul
Jena
1 : 2
Zwickau
17 Jul
Bayreuth
1 : 1
Jena
Page 1 of 6

Luckenwalde

(Away)
08 Aug
Luckenwalde
2 : 3
SV Tasmania Berlin
04 Aug
Magdeburg II
0 : 1
Luckenwalde
01 Aug
Rsv Eintracht
3 : 0
Luckenwalde
24 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 3
Lokomotive Leipzig
17 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 1
Halberstadt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 23 3 8 65:30 72
2 Jena 34 22 6 6 65:35 72
3 Zwickau 34 19 7 8 52:44 64
4 Hallescher 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 Erfurt 34 17 10 7 68:47 61
6 Altglienicke 34 14 11 9 50:40 53
7 Chemnitzer 34 14 9 11 56:52 51
8 BFC Preussen 34 14 8 12 50:55 50
9 Magdeburg II 34 15 4 15 61:55 49
10 Luckenwalde 34 11 10 13 36:45 43
11 Babelsberg 34 11 8 15 67:65 41
12 BFC Dynamo 34 10 10 14 45:50 40
13 Chemie Leipzig 34 12 4 18 43:49 40
14 Hertha Berlin II 34 11 7 16 46:60 40
15 Greifswalder FC 34 9 11 14 40:45 38
16 Meuselwitz 34 8 9 17 44:61 33
17 Eilenburg 34 4 11 19 35:68 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf 34 2 8 24 30:79 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)