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Jena vs Union Berlin

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jena host Union Berlin in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Jena have averaged 4.13 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Union Berlin's 3.13 scored and 1.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Union Berlin slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 19, 2018, ending 2:4. xG projections (2.94 - 2.06) back Jena to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jena
6%
Draws
4%
Union Berlin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jena come out ahead of Union Berlin on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jena a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Jena Clean Sheet 10%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena Union Berlin
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 4.13 3.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 4.13 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2018 DFB Pokal
Jena vs Union Berlin
2:4
Jul 1, 2018 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Jena
1:1
Jul 2, 2011 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Jena
4:0
Jan 23, 2010 Club Friendly
Jena vs Union Berlin
0:0
Mar 21, 2009 3. Liga
Union Berlin vs Jena
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena 83 / 100
Union Berlin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena Union Berlin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jena scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Union Berlin let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Jena remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jena VS Union Berlin
4.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%