Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jena vs Union Berlin

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Loder E.
46'
Sub
Munser E. In: Eshele M.
Out: Munser E.
46'
Sub
Wollschlager L. In: Lankford K.
Out: Wollschlager L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Jena and Union Berlin finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jena
20%
Draws
29%
Union Berlin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jena come out ahead of Union Berlin on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jena a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jena Clean Sheet 18%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena Union Berlin
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.33 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.96 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Jena vs Union Berlin
2:0
Aug 19, 2018 DFB Pokal
Jena vs Union Berlin
2:4
Jul 1, 2018 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Jena
1:1
Jul 2, 2011 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Jena
4:0
Jan 23, 2010 Club Friendly
Jena vs Union Berlin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jena Compare

Top Goalscorer Loder E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lankford K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Union Berlin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena 85 / 100
Union Berlin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena Union Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jena scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Union Berlin let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Jena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jena VS Union Berlin
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Jena

(Home)
15 Sept
Hallescher
2 : 0
Jena
12 Sept
Jena
3 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
02 Sept
Jena
1 : 0
Altglienicke
28 Aug
Chemnitzer
1 : 1
Jena
23 Aug
Jena
1 : 2
Darmstadt
Page 1 of 6

Union Berlin

(Away)
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0
Union Berlin
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3
Schalke
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Union Berlin
29 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
23 Aug
Braunschweig
2 : 4
Union Berlin
Page 1 of 6