Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jena vs Union Berlin

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Loder E.
46'
Sub
Munser E. In: Eshele M.
Out: Munser E.
46'
Sub
Wollschlager L. In: Lankford K.
Out: Wollschlager L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Jena and Union Berlin finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jena
6%
Draws
4%
Union Berlin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jena come out ahead of Union Berlin on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jena a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Jena Clean Sheet 10%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena Union Berlin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 4.13 3
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 4.13 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Jena vs Union Berlin
2:0
Aug 19, 2018 DFB Pokal
Jena vs Union Berlin
2:4
Jul 1, 2018 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Jena
1:1
Jul 2, 2011 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Jena
4:0
Jan 23, 2010 Club Friendly
Jena vs Union Berlin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jena Compare

Top Goalscorer Loder E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lankford K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 2.06

Union Berlin Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena 83 / 100
Union Berlin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena Union Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jena scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Union Berlin let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Jena remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jena VS Union Berlin
4.13 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jena

(Home)
17 Jul
Bayreuth
1 : 1
Jena
12 Jul
Jena
2 : 0
Union Berlin
04 Jul
Jena
4 : 2
Halberstadt
20 Jun
SV Rothenstein
0 : 18
Jena
16 May
Jena
2 : 0
Erfurt
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Union Berlin

(Away)
18 Jul
Aarau
2 : 1
Union Berlin
17 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Union Berlin
12 Jul
Jena
2 : 0
Union Berlin
09 Jul
Chemnitzer
1 : 1
Union Berlin
04 Jul
Rathenow
2 : 12
Union Berlin
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