Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jendouba Sport vs Bouchamma

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Hamdi A.
28' Event
Maaroufi M. B.
75' Event
Maaroufi M. B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Jendouba Sport in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jendouba Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jendouba Sport
15%
Draws
45%
Bouchamma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bouchamma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jendouba Sport lately — more wins on the board than Bouchamma.
  • Model gives Bouchamma a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Jendouba Sport Clean Sheet 14%
Bouchamma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jendouba Sport Bouchamma
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Ligue 2
Jendouba Sport vs Bouchamma
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Bouchamma vs Jendouba Sport
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jendouba Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Maaroufi M. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bouchamma Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamdi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jendouba Sport 19 / 100
Bouchamma 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jendouba Sport Bouchamma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bouchamma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jendouba Sport scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Bouchamma conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Jendouba Sport remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jendouba Sport VS Bouchamma
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jendouba Sport

(Home)
12 May
Kalaa
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
02 May
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0
Moknine
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
22 Apr
Jendouba Sport
2 : 1
Bouchamma
19 Apr
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Jendouba Sport
Page 1 of 6

Bouchamma

(Away)
12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1
Korba
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2
Bouchamma
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0
Ariana
22 Apr
Jendouba Sport
2 : 1
Bouchamma
11 Apr
Bouchamma
4 : 1
Ksour Essef
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)