Sport Picks

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Jendouba Sport vs Rades

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jendouba Sport play Rades in the Ligue 2 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jendouba Sport averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Rades averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Jendouba Sport won 3, Rades won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 2, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Jendouba Sport and 1.25 for Rades. This points to a Jendouba Sport double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Jendouba Sport
35%
Draws
11%
Rades
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jendouba Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Jendouba Sport picked up more points recently compared to Rades.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Jendouba Sport Clean Sheet 19%
Rades Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jendouba Sport Rades
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 2
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.44 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.9
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Ligue 2
Jendouba Sport vs Rades
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Ligue 2
Rades vs Jendouba Sport
0:1
Mar 10, 2024 Ligue 2
Rades vs Jendouba Sport
0:0
Nov 4, 2023 Ligue 2
Jendouba Sport vs Rades
3:1
Mar 19, 2023 Ligue 2
Jendouba Sport vs Rades
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jendouba Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Dridi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mehamedi C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Rades Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jendouba Sport 52 / 100
Rades 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jendouba Sport Rades

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jendouba Sport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Jendouba Sport & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jendouba Sport attacking → ← attacking Rades

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jendouba Sport scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Rades let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Jendouba Sport went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rades lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 16
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AS Marsa26158340:1753
2Megrine26157449:2352
3Jendouba Sport26147538:1949
4Hamam-Sousse26812636:2836
5Korba2699822:2836
6Hammam-Lif26810825:2634
7Msaken26712718:1733
8Ariana261031333:3333
9Kalaa26871130:3431
10EM Mahdia26941326:3731
11Moknine26791027:3030
12Menzel Bourguiba26791018:2730
13Oued Ellil26691123:3227
14Rades26281616:5014
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1JS Kairouan26159230:1154
2Kasserine26165536:1753
3Kerkennah26128636:2144
4Sfax Railways26128635:2244
5PS Sakiet Eddaier26135832:2344
6BS Bouhajla26961121:2233
7Redeyef261031323:2533
8Djelma26951226:2632
9Sidi Bouzid26881027:2832
10Chebba26951224:2932
11Stade Gabesien26861213:2330
12AS Agareb26791023:3530
13ES Jerba26681215:2426
14Espoir Rogba26351819:5413