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Jennings Utd vs Aston Villa

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jennings Utd play Aston Villa in the ABFA Premier League. Aston Villa are favorites here. Recently, Jennings Utd averaged 0.6 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. Aston Villa averaged 3.06 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Jennings Utd won 1, Aston Villa won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 9:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Jennings Utd and 2.94 for Aston Villa. This points to a Aston Villa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Jennings Utd
15%
Draws
74%
Aston Villa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aston Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jennings Utd picked up more points recently compared to Aston Villa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 2.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Jennings Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Aston Villa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jennings Utd Aston Villa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 20
Draws 1 2
Losses 26 9
Goals Scored 0.6 3.06
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Jennings Utd
9:0
Nov 29, 2025 ABFA Premier League
Jennings Utd vs Aston Villa
0:4
Feb 21, 2009 ABFA Premier League
Jennings Utd vs Aston Villa
3:0
Dec 12, 2008 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Jennings Utd
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jennings Utd 12 / 100
Aston Villa 69 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jennings Utd Aston Villa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Aston Villa & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +266.6%
33.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jennings Utd attacking → ← attacking Aston Villa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jennings Utd scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Aston Villa let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Jennings Utd went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Aston Villa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 62
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Grenades22192165:1859
2All Saints United22182272:1956
3Aston Villa22142669:4344
4Pigotts Bullets22123740:2539
5Old Road22106675:3736
6Potters FC2296741:3633
7Garden Stars2287748:4031
8Green City22651135:4123
9Attacking Saints22721337:4923
10John Hughes22511617:6816
11Ottos Rangers22321724:6711
12Jennings Utd22202010:906