Sport Picks

South Korea

K League 1 Jeonju World Cup Stadium

Jeonbuk

1 - 0

Gimcheon Sangmu

Our Tip

Match Events

61'

Sub

Lim Dug-Keun In: Lee K.

Out: Lim Dug-Keun

62'

Sub

Go Jae-Hyeon In: Jeon Byung-Kwan

Out: Go Jae-Hyeon

66'

Sub

Oberdan In: Gamboa J.

Out: Oberdan

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jeonbuk in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jeonbuk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Jeonbuk

22%

Draws

18%

Gimcheon Sangmu

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Jeonbuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Jeonbuk lately — more wins on the board than Gimcheon Sangmu.
60% — that's where the model lands on Jeonbuk taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Jeonbuk Clean Sheet 20%

Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jeonbuk	Gimcheon Sangmu
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	13	7
Draws	9	10
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	1.88	1
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 K League 1

Jeonbuk vs Gimcheon Sangmu

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Mar 8, 2026 K League 1

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeonbuk

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Oct 25, 2025 K League 1

Jeonbuk vs Gimcheon Sangmu

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

2:3

Sep 20, 2025 K League 1

Jeonbuk vs Gimcheon Sangmu

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Jun 27, 2025 K League 1

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeonbuk

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeonbuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiago Orobo

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeonbuk 58 / 100

Gimcheon Sangmu 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jeonbuk Gimcheon Sangmu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jeonbuk scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Gimcheon Sangmu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Jeonbuk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jeonbuk VS Gimcheon Sangmu

1.88 Goals Scored 1

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Seoul	17	11	3	3	28:12	36
2	Gangwon	18	8	7	3	23:11	31
3	Jeonbuk	18	8	5	5	25:16	29
4	Ulsan Hyundai	18	8	4	6	26:26	28
5	Pohang	18	8	4	6	19:16	28
6	Incheon	18	7	3	8	22:19	24
7	Anyang	17	5	8	4	22:19	23
8	Jeju SK	18	6	5	7	16:18	23
9	Daejeon	18	4	7	7	21:20	19
10	Bucheon FC 1995	17	4	7	6	14:18	19
11	Gimcheon Sangmu	18	2	10	6	17:25	16
12	Gwangju FC	17	1	5	11	8:41	8