Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jeonbuk vs Incheon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Cho Wi-Je
Assist: Kang Sang-Yoon
40' Event
Lee Myoung-Joo
(Penalty)
42'
Choi Seung-gu

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Jeonbuk and Incheon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Incheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jeonbuk
40%
Draws
29%
Incheon
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jeonbuk come out ahead of Incheon on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Jeonbuk Clean Sheet 20%
Incheon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeonbuk Incheon
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Jeonbuk
1:0
Apr 21, 2026 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Incheon
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Incheon
0:0
Aug 24, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Jeonbuk
0:1
Jun 16, 2024 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Incheon
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeonbuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Cho Wi-Je
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Incheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Dong-Ryul
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeonbuk 32 / 100
Incheon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeonbuk Incheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeonbuk scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Incheon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Jeonbuk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jeonbuk VS Incheon
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeonbuk

(Home)
18 Jul
Incheon
1 : 0
Jeonbuk
11 Jul
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 3
Jeonbuk
04 Jul
Jeonbuk
1 : 2
Gangwon
17 May
Jeonbuk
1 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
13 May
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 0
Jeonbuk
Page 1 of 6

Incheon

(Away)
18 Jul
Incheon
1 : 0
Jeonbuk
12 Jul
Incheon
0 : 1
Anyang
05 Jul
Seoul
1 : 0
Incheon
16 May
Incheon
4 : 0
Gwangju FC
12 May
Incheon
0 : 1
Pohang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul18123331:1339
2Gangwon1887323:1131
3Jeonbuk1885525:1629
4Ulsan Hyundai1884626:2628
5Pohang1884619:1628
6Anyang1859423:2024
7Incheon1873822:1924
8Jeju SK1865716:1823
9Daejeon1847721:2019
10Bucheon FC 19951847715:2119
11Gimcheon Sangmu18210617:2516
12Gwangju FC1816119:429
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)