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Jequie vs Itabuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Itabuna advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Jequie
35%
Draws
32%
Itabuna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itabuna come out ahead of Jequie on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jequie a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Itabuna arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Itabuna, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Jequie Clean Sheet 20%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jequie Itabuna
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.5 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2024 Baiano
Jequie vs Itabuna
2:1
Jul 24, 2022 Baiano 2
Jequie vs Itabuna
0:1
Jul 16, 2022 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Jequie
1:1
Jun 26, 2022 Baiano 2
Jequie vs Itabuna
1:3
Apr 19, 2015 Baiano 2
Jequie vs Itabuna
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jequie 40 / 100
Itabuna 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jequie Itabuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEQ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jequie found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Jequie remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Itabuna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jequie VS Itabuna
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jequie

(Home)
22 Feb
Jequie
1 : 1
Barcelona FC
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Jequie
2 : 2
Vitoria
04 Feb
Jacuipense
0 : 2
Jequie
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
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Itabuna

(Away)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Itabuna 2
Jequie 1
Juazeiro 2
Jacobinense 2
Final
Itabuna 4
Jacobinense 3