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Stadium Background

Jequie vs Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Waldomiro Borges Stadium, Jequié
Jequie Logo

Jequie

2 - 2
FT
Vitoria Logo

Vitoria

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Delgado J.
28' Event
Nael
42'
Ze Gatinha
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jequie
30%
Draws
23%
Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jequie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria lately — more wins on the board than Jequie.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Jequie taking it.
  • Regular Baiano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Jequie Clean Sheet 68%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jequie Vitoria
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Baiano
Jequie vs Vitoria
2:2
Feb 16, 2025 Baiano
Vitoria vs Jequie
2:0
Feb 1, 2024 Baiano
Jequie vs Vitoria
1:0
Feb 6, 2019 Baiano
Vitoria vs Jequie
4:0
Feb 25, 2018 Baiano
Jequie vs Vitoria
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jequie Compare

Top Goalscorer Nael
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tiago Recife
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pablo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jequie 95 / 100
Vitoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jequie Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jequie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Jequie's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vitoria let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Jequie went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vitoria
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jequie

(Home)
22 Feb
Jequie
1 : 1
Barcelona FC
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Jequie
2 : 2
Vitoria
04 Feb
Jacuipense
0 : 2
Jequie
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria

(Away)
20 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 3
Cruzeiro
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
03 Sept
Vitoria
0 : 2
Vasco
29 Aug
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Vitoria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia 9 7 2 0 26:9 23
2 Vitoria 9 4 4 1 13:4 16
3 Jacuipense 9 3 4 2 11:10 13
4 Juazeirense 9 3 4 2 7:9 13
5 Jequie 9 3 3 3 15:13 12
6 Porto-BA 9 2 5 2 10:12 11
7 Barcelona FC 9 2 4 3 7:15 10
8 Galicia 9 3 0 6 7:14 9
9 Bahia de Feira 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
10 Alagoinhas 9 0 3 6 5:14 3
Promotion - Baiano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Baiano 2 2027 (Main)