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Jerash vs Al Shoalah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2
Sat, Jan 16, 2027
VS
12:55 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jerash host Al Shoalah in the Division 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Jerash at 1.73 goals for, 1.53 against; Al Shoalah at 1.52 for, 1.59 against. Past meetings favor Al Shoalah slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 6:4. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 2.19) point toward Jerash. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Jerash
30%
Draws
43%
Al Shoalah
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Shoalah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Jerash have won more games recently than Al Shoalah.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Jerash Clean Sheet 10%
Al Shoalah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerash Al Shoalah
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Division 2
Al Shoalah vs Jerash
6:4
Nov 8, 2025 Division 2
Jerash vs Al Shoalah
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerash 30 / 100
Al Shoalah 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerash Al Shoalah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shoalah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerash's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Al Shoalah let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Jerash went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jerash VS Al Shoalah
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerash

(Home)
10 Apr
Jerash
3 : 3
Jubbah
04 Apr
Al Sahel
2 : 1
Jerash
28 Mar
Jerash
2 : 1
Al Sharq
14 Mar
Jerash
2 : 3
Al Jeel
07 Mar
Al Sadd
1 : 2
Jerash
Page 1 of 6

Al Shoalah

(Away)
10 Apr
Al Shoalah
4 : 1
Tuwaiq
04 Apr
Al Entesar
1 : 1
Al Shoalah
28 Mar
Al Washm
3 : 3
Al Shoalah
14 Mar
Al Shoalah
2 : 1
Al Ain
07 Mar
Afief
1 : 3
Al Shoalah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Al Safa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Al Taraji 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Wej Sports Club 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Al Batin 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Al Qwarah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Hottain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Ain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Arar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Mudhar Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Al Qalah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Baish 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Afief 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Al Sahel 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al Nairea 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Al Gottah 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sharq 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Al Entesar 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Al Kawkab 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Al Jubail 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
6 Al Hada 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
7 Al Loa 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
8 Al Qous 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 Najran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Al Shoalah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Al Rawdhah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Jerash 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Al Najoom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Qilwah 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Jubbah 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
16 Al Washm 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)