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Stadium Background

Jerash vs Najran - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Najran in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Najran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jerash
20%
Draws
40%
Najran
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Jerash haven't matched Najran's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Najran have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Jerash Clean Sheet 68%
Najran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerash Najran
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.66 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2026 Division 2
Jerash vs Najran
1:2
Feb 11, 2026 Division 2
Jerash vs Najran
0:1
Nov 13, 2025 Division 2
Najran vs Jerash
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerash 41 / 100
Najran 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerash Najran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerash Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jerash scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Najran has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Jerash stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Jerash VS Najran
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerash

(Home)
29 Oct
Jerash
4 : 0
Al Qous
19 Oct
Jerash
1 : 2
Najran
10 Apr
Jerash
3 : 3
Jubbah
04 Apr
Al Sahel
2 : 1
Jerash
28 Mar
Jerash
2 : 1
Al Sharq
Page 1 of 6

Najran

(Away)
03 Nov
Najran
1 : 1
Jubbah
29 Oct
Al Sharq
2 : 0
Najran
19 Oct
Jerash
1 : 2
Najran
10 Apr
Najran
3 : 2
Al Najoom
04 Apr
Jubbah
3 : 1
Najran
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baish 4 3 1 0 9:6 10
2 Al Sahel 5 3 1 1 8:5 10
3 Wej Sports Club 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
4 Al Taraji 5 2 2 1 9:9 8
5 Al Qalah 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
6 Al Ain 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
7 Al Safa 4 2 0 2 3:7 6
8 Al Rayan 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
9 Al Nairea 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
10 Al Qwarah 5 1 1 3 8:9 4
11 Al Gottah 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
12 Arar 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Afief 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
14 Al Batin 4 0 3 1 2:5 3
15 Mudhar Club 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
16 Hottain 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sharq 5 3 2 0 10:1 11
2 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
3 Al Entesar 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
4 Al Rawdhah 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
5 Al Kawkab 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
6 Al Loa 4 2 1 1 7:7 7
7 Al Hada 4 1 3 0 10:7 6
8 Qilwah 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
9 Al Shoalah 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
10 Al Jubail 5 0 4 1 4:5 4
11 Najran 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
12 Al Najoom 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
13 Al Washm 4 1 1 2 6:12 4
14 Jerash 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
15 Jubbah 5 0 3 2 3:7 3
16 Al Qous 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)