Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Jerez CF in this Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jerez CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Jerez CF have won more games recently than Cerceda.
- Win probability leans Jerez CF's way, sitting at 90%.
- Jerez CF have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Jerez CF, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 20%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jerez CF | Cerceda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 1 |
| Draws | 14 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 28, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Jerez CF vs Cerceda
1:0
May 20, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Cerceda vs Jerez CF
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jerez CF 85 / 100
Cerceda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jerez CF Cerceda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jerez CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jerez CF found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Cerceda has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Jerez CF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Cerceda's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Jerez CF VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Jerez CF
(Home) 13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1 Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1 Jerez CF
26 Apr
Villanovense
2 : 0 Jerez CF
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2 Don Benito
04 Apr
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Santa Amalia
22 Mar
Jerez CF
2 : 3 CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 3
Cerceda
(Away) 13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2 CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0 Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1 Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2 Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1 Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0 Cerceda
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2 Cerceda
07 Apr
Real Madrid B
4 : 2 Cerceda
25 Mar
San Sebastian Reyes
3 : 0 Cerceda
11 Mar
Toledo
2 : 3 Cerceda
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Beasain 5
Lorca FC B 2
Cacereno -
TBD -
Langreo 1
Almeria B 2
Gijon B -
TBD -
Oberena 2
Antequera 2
Bergantinos 2
CD Badajoz 2
CD Laredo 1
Utebo FC 1
CD Calahorra -
TBD -
SCD Durango 1
Ecija 2
Tuilla 1
UD San Fernando 5
Unionistas de Salamanca 2
Aguilas FC 1
Olimpic Xativa -
TBD -
Ontinyent 2
Terrassa 1
SD Ejea 1
Arcos CF 3
Palencia CA 3
Real Aviles 2
Alaves B -
TBD -
FC Vilafranca 2
Union Adarve 2
Huetor Tajar 2
Tarazona 3
Pena Deportiva 2
Alzira 1
Malaga B -
TBD -
Cortes 2
Villarrobledo 4
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 2
Naxara 2
Castellon 2
UD Poblense 2
Pena -
TBD -
SD Logrones 1
Mexico 2
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
TBD -
Cerceda 0
Jerez CF 1
Lorca Deportiva -
TBD -
CD Azuaga 0
CD Vitoria 1
Guadalajara 0
Cirbonero 1
Ibarra 2
CD Tropezon 3
Algeciras 1
Atletico Astorga 2
Villa Santa Brigida 5
Alcudia 2
Cayon CD 0
Rapido de Bouzas 6
CD Mostoles 0
Peralada 3
Anguiano 2
Conquense 2
Semi-finals
Beasain 2
Cacereno 2
Almeria B 1
Gijon B 2
Antequera 3
CD Badajoz 4
CD Laredo 3
CD Calahorra 4
Ecija 3
UD San Fernando 3
Unionistas de Salamanca 1
Olimpic Xativa 5
Ontinyent 3
Arcos CF 2
Palencia CA 1
Alaves B 2
Union Adarve 3
Tarazona 2
Pena Deportiva 0
Malaga B 3
Villarrobledo 2
Naxara 3
Castellon 4
Pena 4
Mexico 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 1
Jerez CF 1
Lorca Deportiva 5
CD Vitoria 5
Cirbonero 0
CD Tropezon 1
Atletico Astorga 5
Villa Santa Brigida 0
Rapido de Bouzas 2
Peralada 4
Conquense 3
Final
Beasain 4
Gijon B 7
CD Badajoz 2
CD Calahorra 1
Ecija 3
Olimpic Xativa 2
Ontinyent 4
Alaves B 3
Union Adarve 4
Malaga B 4
Naxara 2
Pena 4
Mexico 2
Lorca Deportiva 5
CD Vitoria 2
Atletico Astorga 2
Rapido de Bouzas 3
Peralada 3
