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Jerez CF vs Jaraiz Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Jerez CF Logo

Jerez CF

2 - 2
FT
Jaraiz Logo

Jaraiz

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Chavez C.
(Penalty)
13' Event
Ramos Moreno A.
(Penalty)
26' Event
Diarrassouba B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jerez CF
20%
Draws
29%
Jaraiz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jerez CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Jerez CF haven't matched Jaraiz's recent run of results.
  • Jerez CF are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jaraiz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 19%
Jaraiz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerez CF Jaraiz
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.68 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Jaraiz
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs Jerez CF
2:0
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Jaraiz
2:3
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs Jerez CF
2:1
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs Jerez CF
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jerez CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarrassouba B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Jaraiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos Moreno A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerez CF 36 / 100
Jaraiz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerez CF Jaraiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerez CF scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Jaraiz let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Jerez CF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jerez CF VS Jaraiz
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerez CF

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2
Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2
Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
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Jaraiz

(Away)
27 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 1
SP Villafranca
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Jaraiz
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3
Moralo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2
Pueblonuevo
24 May
CD Badajoz
2 : 0
Jaraiz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)