Sport Picks
Jerez CF vs Puebla de la Calzada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 
Match Events
45'
45'
Chavez C.
(Penalty)
55'
55'
Rocha H.
84'
84'
Rocha H.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Puebla de la Calzada
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Puebla de la Calzada haven't matched Jerez CF's recent run of results.
- Model gives Puebla de la Calzada a 37% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 16%
Puebla de la Calzada Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jerez CF | Puebla de la Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Puebla de la Calzada
2:2
Feb 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Puebla de la Calzada
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Puebla de la Calzada vs Jerez CF
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Puebla de la Calzada
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Puebla de la Calzada vs Jerez CF
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jerez CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Chavez C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Puebla de la Calzada Compare
Top Goalscorer Rocha H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jerez CF 23 / 100
Puebla de la Calzada 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jerez CF Puebla de la Calzada
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Puebla de la Calzada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Jerez CF scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Puebla de la Calzada has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Jerez CF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jerez CF VS Puebla de la Calzada
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Jerez CF
(Home) 27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2 Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1 Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2 Castuera
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2 Don Benito
04 Apr
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Santa Amalia
Page 1 of 3
Puebla de la Calzada
(Away) 03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
27 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
1 : 2 Quintana
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3 Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0 Castuera
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3 Puebla de la Calzada
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
26 Apr
CD Badajoz
5 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 3 | AD Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 10 |
| 4 | Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Puebla de la Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Gevora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 10 | SP Villafranca | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Cabeza del Buey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Jaraiz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 15 | Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 17 | UP Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:11 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)
