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Jerez CF vs Quintana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jerez CF host Quintana in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Quintana have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Jerez CF have conceded 1.6 and scored 1.67. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 1.08) point toward Jerez CF. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Jerez CF
22%
Draws
33%
Quintana
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Jerez CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

22% / Low Confidence
  • Jerez CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jerez CF's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 20%
Quintana Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerez CF Quintana
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 9 1
Draws 11 1
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.67 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerez CF 42 / 100
Quintana 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerez CF Quintana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jerez CF scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Quintana let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Solid form: Jerez CF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Quintana registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jerez CF VS Quintana
1.38 Goals Scored 0.29
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.71
100% Over 1.5 29%
63% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerez CF

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2
Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2
Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6

Quintana

(Away)
27 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
1 : 2
Quintana
20 Sept
Quintana
0 : 0
Gevora
13 Sept
Santa Amalia
3 : 0
Quintana
06 Sept
Quintana
0 : 1
CD Zafra

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
10 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
11 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
12 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
13 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
14 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
15 SP Villafranca 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)