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Jersey Express vs Long Island Prediction & H2H Stats

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USL Premier Development League 2014
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL Premier Development League 2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Jersey Express
15%
Draws
53%
Long Island
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Long Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Long Island lately — more wins on the board than Jersey Express.
  • Win probability leans Long Island's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Jersey Express Clean Sheet 10%
Long Island Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jersey Express Long Island
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.77 2.4
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2015 USL League Two
Long Island vs Jersey Express
1:3
Jun 3, 2015 USL League Two
Jersey Express vs Long Island
2:1
May 16, 2015 USL League Two
Long Island vs Jersey Express
2:1
Jul 19, 2014 USL League Two
Jersey Express vs Long Island
2:2
May 31, 2014 USL League Two
Long Island vs Jersey Express
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jersey Express 10 / 100
Long Island 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jersey Express Long Island

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Long Island Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Jersey Express's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Long Island let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Jersey Express stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Long Island
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jersey Express

(Home)
15 Jul
Jersey Express
7 : 1
Euro New York
13 Jul
Jersey Express
1 : 4
Reading
08 Jul
Reading
5 : 0
Jersey Express
02 Jul
Jersey Express
2 : 1
Northern Virginia
29 Jun
Jersey Express
1 : 5
New York Red Bulls U23
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Long Island

(Away)
11 Jul
Motown 2
4 : 2
Long Island
02 Jul
Cedar Stars Rush
1 : 1
Long Island
27 Jun
Staten Island ASC
0 : 6
Long Island
26 Jun
Long Island
4 : 1
Cedar Stars Rush
21 Jun
Long Island
4 : 0
Westchester Flames
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