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Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Marciano Y.
90' Event
Fadida R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South game between Jerusalem FC and Maccabi Ironi Ashdod finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Jerusalem FC
35%
Draws
30%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jerusalem FC come out ahead of Maccabi Ironi Ashdod on wins alone.
  • Jerusalem FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Alef South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Jerusalem FC Clean Sheet 20%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerusalem FC Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Matches Played 22 21
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.86 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1:1
Feb 13, 2026 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
3:3
Oct 10, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Jerusalem FC
3:1
Jan 31, 2025 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
0:4
Sep 27, 2024 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Jerusalem FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jerusalem FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadida R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Compare

Top Goalscorer Marciano Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerusalem FC 49 / 100
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerusalem FC Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerusalem FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jerusalem FC scored in 82% of their last 22 outings.

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has conceded goals in 86% of their last 21 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Jerusalem FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jerusalem FC VS Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerusalem FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Jerusalem FC
0 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
30 Sept
Tzeirei Tira
0 : 2
Jerusalem FC
24 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Yavne
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Page 1 of 5

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

(Away)
08 Oct
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 0
Holon Yermiyahu
24 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 2
Ironi Beit Shemesh
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)