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Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Moshel S.

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi in this Liga Alef South matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Jerusalem FC
30%
Draws
43%
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Jerusalem FC have won more games recently than Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Alef South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Jerusalem FC Clean Sheet 24%
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerusalem FC Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
Matches Played 22 21
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.86 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
0:1
Jan 30, 2026 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
1:2
Sep 19, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi vs Jerusalem FC
2:1
Feb 21, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi vs Jerusalem FC
0:1
Oct 22, 2024 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jerusalem FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi Compare

Top Goalscorer Moshel S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerusalem FC 33 / 100
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerusalem FC Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jerusalem FC scored in 82% of their last 22 outings.

Defensive concern: Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi conceded in 71% of 21 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jerusalem FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jerusalem FC VS Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerusalem FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Jerusalem FC
0 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
30 Sept
Tzeirei Tira
0 : 2
Jerusalem FC
24 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Yavne
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
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Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi

(Away)
09 Oct
Jerusalem FC
0 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
0 : 0
H. Herzliya
23 Sept
FC Dimona
1 : 5
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
3 : 0
Hapoel Azor
09 Sept
Hapoel Sderot FC
1 : 2
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)