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Jerv 2 vs Lura

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2016 game between Jerv 2 and Lura finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jerv 2
30%
Draws
39%
Lura
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Jerv 2's 2.24 goals per match outpaces what Lura have produced (1.56).
  • Win probability leans Lura's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Jerv 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Lura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerv 2 Lura
Matches Played 25 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.24 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Jerv 2 vs Lura
2:4
Jun 7, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Lura vs Jerv 2
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerv 2 10 / 100
Lura 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerv 2 Lura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerv 2 scored in 88% of their last 25 games.

Defensive concern: Lura conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jerv 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jerv 2 VS Lura
1 Goals Scored 1.5
6 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerv 2

(Home)
28 Feb
Jerv 2
1 : 6
Mandalskameratene
22 Oct
Jerv 2
2 : 3
Madla IL
15 Oct
IL Express
4 : 0
Jerv 2
08 Oct
Jerv 2
2 : 1
Viking 2
03 Oct
Eiger
2 : 2
Jerv 2
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Lura

(Away)
21 Oct
Lura
2 : 2
Brodd
14 Oct
Staal Jorpeland
2 : 2
Lura
06 Oct
Lura
1 : 2
Viking 2
28 Sept
Madla IL
2 : 1
Lura
23 Sept
Lura
2 : 0
Tonsberg
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