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Jerv vs Arendal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr, Grimstad
Jerv Logo

Jerv

Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Arendal Logo

Arendal

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jerv host Arendal in the Division 2 - Group 1. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Arendal have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while Jerv have conceded 1.29 and scored 2.11. Past meetings favor Arendal slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.38, favoring Jerv. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Jerv
15%
Draws
17%
Arendal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jerv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Jerv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jerv's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Jerv Clean Sheet 17%
Arendal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerv Arendal
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.11 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Jerv
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Arendal vs Jerv
3:3
Oct 25, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Jerv
3:1
Aug 13, 2025 NM Cup
Arendal vs Jerv
3:2
May 16, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Arendal
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerv 84 / 100
Arendal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerv Arendal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerv scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Arendal let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Jerv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jerv VS Arendal
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerv

(Home)
26 Sept
Jerv
1 : 0
Notodden
19 Sept
Kvik Halden
0 : 2
Jerv
16 Sept
Jerv
1 : 2
Egersund
13 Sept
Jerv
3 : 1
Brattvag
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3
Jerv
Page 1 of 6

Arendal

(Away)
27 Sept
Arendal
2 : 3
Brattvag
20 Sept
Notodden
4 : 1
Arendal
16 Sept
Arendal
1 : 2
Sandnes Ulf
13 Sept
Arendal
2 : 0
Kvik Halden
06 Sept
Bjarg
4 : 0
Arendal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 21 16 3 2 44:18 51
2 Bjarg 22 14 2 6 47:28 44
3 Brattvag 21 13 3 5 44:26 42
4 Mjondalen 21 13 2 6 39:28 41
5 Sotra 21 12 3 6 45:22 39
6 Notodden 22 10 5 7 31:20 35
7 Kvik Halden 22 10 4 8 34:27 34
8 Traeff 21 8 6 7 36:40 30
9 Pors 22 7 5 10 28:31 26
10 Arendal 21 7 5 9 30:37 26
11 Sandviken 21 6 4 11 32:45 22
12 Lysekloster 21 3 5 13 23:45 14
13 Eik-Tonsberg 22 3 1 18 24:50 10
14 Vidar 22 2 4 16 20:60 10
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)