Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jerv vs Egersund

Norway Norway

NM Cup
Wed, Sep 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Egersund have shipped 1.89 goals a game lately, while Jerv have conceded 1.44 and scored 2.04. Head-to-head, Jerv have won 1 to Egersund's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.44) back Jerv to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jerv
30%
Draws
19%
Egersund
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jerv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Egersund haven't matched Jerv's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jerv's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Jerv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Egersund, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Jerv Clean Sheet 16%
Egersund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerv Egersund
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.04 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2025 NM Cup
Jerv vs Egersund
0:1
Feb 26, 2021 Club Friendly
Jerv vs Egersund
0:0
Jun 22, 2020 Club Friendly
Egersund vs Jerv
1:1
May 2, 2018 NM Cup
Egersund vs Jerv
2:1
Oct 13, 2012 Division 2 - Group 3
Jerv vs Egersund
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerv 84 / 100
Egersund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerv Egersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerv scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Solid form: Jerv remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Egersund has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jerv VS Egersund
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerv

(Home)
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3
Jerv
30 Aug
Jerv
1 : 0
Pors
22 Aug
Fram
1 : 2
Jerv
16 Aug
Sandviken
2 : 2
Jerv
08 Aug
Jerv
4 : 0
Vidar
Page 1 of 6

Egersund

(Away)
06 Sept
Lyn
1 : 1
Egersund
30 Aug
Egersund
2 : 2
Asane
26 Aug
Haugesund
3 : 0
Egersund
22 Aug
Vag
2 : 5
Egersund
16 Aug
Egersund
0 : 4
Stabaek
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
1/32-finals
Alta -
Tromso -
Floya -
Rosenborg -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Rana FK -
Bodo/Glimt -
Levanger -
Ranheim -
Stjordals Blink -
Fredrikstad -
Trygg/Lade -
Molde -
Brattvag -
Kristiansund -
Traeff -
Hodd -
Forde -
Aalesund -
Sotra -
Sogndal -
Sandviken -
Asane -
OS TF -
Brann -
Bjarg -
Bryne -
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Madla IL -
Viking -
Vindbjart -
Start -
Jerv -
Egersund -
Arendal -
Sandnes Ulf -
Pors -
Stabaek -
Notodden -
Odds BK -
Flint -
Sandefjord -
Honefoss -
KFUM Oslo -
Elverum -
Raufoss -
Eidsvold TF -
Kongsvinger -
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Baerum -
Lillestrom -
Skeid -
Valerenga -
Kjelsas -
Ham-Kam -
Gamle Oslo -
Lyn -
Grorud -
Moss -
Follo -
Sarpsborg 08 -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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