Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jerv vs Notodden Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr, Grimstad
Our Tip

Match Events

55'
Solas S. O.
56' Event
Syvertsen P.
Penalty Missed
57' Event
Syvertsen P.

AI Match Summary

Jerv in this Division 2 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jerv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Jerv
15%
Draws
31%
Notodden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jerv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jerv lately — more wins on the board than Notodden.
  • Model gives Jerv a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jerv Clean Sheet 16%
Notodden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerv Notodden
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.1 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Notodden
1:0
May 31, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Jerv
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Notodden vs Jerv
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Notodden
2:2
May 25, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Jerv
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jerv Compare

Top Goalscorer Syvertsen P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Notodden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerv 48 / 100
Notodden 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerv Notodden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerv found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Jerv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Notodden let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jerv VS Notodden
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerv

(Home)
26 Sept
Jerv
1 : 0
Notodden
19 Sept
Kvik Halden
0 : 2
Jerv
16 Sept
Jerv
1 : 2
Egersund
13 Sept
Jerv
3 : 1
Brattvag
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3
Jerv
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Notodden

(Away)
26 Sept
Jerv
1 : 0
Notodden
20 Sept
Notodden
4 : 1
Arendal
16 Sept
Notodden
2 : 3
Odds BK
13 Sept
Traeff
1 : 1
Notodden
06 Sept
Notodden
3 : 0
Lysekloster
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 21 16 3 2 44:18 51
2 Brattvag 21 13 3 5 44:26 42
3 Bjarg 21 13 2 6 44:26 41
4 Mjondalen 21 13 2 6 39:28 41
5 Sotra 21 12 3 6 45:22 39
6 Notodden 21 10 5 6 30:17 35
7 Kvik Halden 21 10 4 7 32:24 34
8 Traeff 21 8 6 7 36:40 30
9 Arendal 21 7 5 9 30:37 26
10 Pors 21 6 5 10 24:30 23
11 Sandviken 21 6 4 11 32:45 22
12 Lysekloster 21 3 5 13 23:45 14
13 Vidar 21 2 4 15 19:56 10
14 Eik-Tonsberg 21 2 1 18 21:49 7
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)