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Jerv vs Sotra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr, Grimstad
Jerv Logo

Jerv

Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Sotra Logo

Sotra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jerv host Sotra in the Division 2 - Group 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Sotra have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Jerv have conceded 1.34 and scored 2.14. Past meetings favor Jerv slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.75, favoring Jerv. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Jerv
15%
Draws
32%
Sotra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jerv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Jerv have won more games recently than Sotra.
  • Win probability leans Jerv's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Jerv Clean Sheet 12%
Sotra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerv Sotra
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.14 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Jerv
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Sotra
2:0
Jun 8, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Jerv
2:1
Jul 7, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Sotra
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Jerv
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerv 56 / 100
Sotra 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerv Sotra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerv scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Sotra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Jerv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jerv VS Sotra
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerv

(Home)
04 Oct
Lysekloster
3 : 3
Jerv
26 Sept
Jerv
1 : 0
Notodden
19 Sept
Kvik Halden
0 : 2
Jerv
16 Sept
Jerv
1 : 2
Egersund
13 Sept
Jerv
3 : 1
Brattvag
Page 1 of 6

Sotra

(Away)
04 Oct
Brattvag
3 : 2
Sotra
26 Sept
Sotra
3 : 2
Pors
19 Sept
Mjondalen
3 : 1
Sotra
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
12 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Sandviken
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 22 16 4 2 47:21 52
2 Brattvag 22 14 3 5 47:28 45
3 Bjarg 22 14 2 6 47:28 44
4 Mjondalen 22 14 2 6 43:28 44
5 Sotra 22 12 3 7 47:25 39
6 Notodden 22 10 5 7 31:20 35
7 Kvik Halden 22 10 4 8 34:27 34
8 Traeff 22 8 6 8 36:44 30
9 Pors 22 7 5 10 28:31 26
10 Arendal 22 7 5 10 30:38 26
11 Sandviken 22 7 4 11 33:45 25
12 Lysekloster 22 3 6 13 26:48 15
13 Eik-Tonsberg 22 3 1 18 24:50 10
14 Vidar 22 2 4 16 20:60 10
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