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Jesenice vs Dravinja

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Jesenice Logo

Jesenice

0 - 1
FT
Dravinja Logo

Dravinja

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Pucnik L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dravinja in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dravinja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Jesenice
15%
Draws
21%
Dravinja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jesenice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Dravinja have won more games recently than Jesenice.
  • Jesenice are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 20%
Dravinja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesenice Dravinja
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Dravinja
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Jesenice
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jesenice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dravinja Compare

Top Goalscorer Pucnik L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesenice 85 / 100
Dravinja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesenice Dravinja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jesenice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dravinja conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Jesenice remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Dravinja registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jesenice VS Dravinja
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesenice

(Home)
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
29 Aug
Jesenice
3 : 1
Beltinci
21 Aug
Jadran Dekani
0 : 2
Jesenice
Page 1 of 6

Dravinja

(Away)
20 Sept
Dravinja
3 : 1
Bistrica
11 Sept
Tabor Sezana
5 : 1
Dravinja
05 Sept
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Dravinja
29 Aug
Dravinja
1 : 4
Triglav
22 Aug
Vrhnika
2 : 0
Dravinja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)