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Jesenice vs NK Brezice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Krupic E.
(Penalty)
19' Event
Krupic E.
28' Event
Nezirovic L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. SNL matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Jesenice
15%
Draws
8%
NK Brezice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jesenice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • NK Brezice have won more games recently than Jesenice.
  • Jesenice are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 20%
NK Brezice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesenice NK Brezice
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 2. SNL
Jesenice vs NK Brezice
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jesenice Compare

Top Goalscorer Krupic E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

NK Brezice Compare

Top Goalscorer Nezirovic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesenice 85 / 100
NK Brezice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesenice NK Brezice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jesenice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

NK Brezice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Jesenice has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: NK Brezice has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jesenice VS NK Brezice
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesenice

(Home)
04 Oct
Triglav
4 : 0
Jesenice
27 Sept
Jesenice
5 : 0
Vrhnika
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
Page 1 of 6

NK Brezice

(Away)
03 Oct
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Primorje
27 Sept
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 0
NK Brezice
19 Sept
NK Brezice
3 : 4
Rudar
16 Sept
Triglav
4 : 0
NK Brezice
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 10 8 1 1 21:7 25
2 Triglav 9 6 1 2 18:5 19
3 Beltinci 9 6 1 2 23:11 19
4 Jesenice 9 5 1 3 16:12 16
5 Slovan Ljubljana 9 5 1 3 13:15 16
6 Rudar 10 5 0 5 19:17 15
7 Bilje 9 5 0 4 17:17 15
8 Vrhnika 9 4 2 3 10:12 14
9 Ilirija 9 4 1 4 15:10 13
10 Bistrica 9 4 1 4 12:14 13
11 Jadran Dekani 9 3 3 3 6:6 12
12 Primorje 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
13 Krsko Posavje 9 2 3 4 8:15 9
14 NK Krka 9 2 1 6 9:16 7
15 Dravinja 9 1 1 7 9:24 4
16 NK Brezice 9 0 2 7 8:18 2
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)