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Jesenice vs NK Krka

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Zur D.
46' Event
Meze T.
58' Event
Medle G.

AI Match Summary

NK Krka in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored NK Krka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Jesenice
6%
Draws
90%
NK Krka
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: NK Krka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jesenice haven't matched NK Krka's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans NK Krka's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and NK Krka have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 10%
NK Krka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesenice NK Krka
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 4 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Jesenice
3:2
Nov 8, 2025 2. SNL
Jesenice vs NK Krka
0:3
Jun 2, 2012 3. SNL - West
Jesenice vs NK Krka
1:5
Nov 5, 2011 3. SNL - West
NK Krka vs Jesenice
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jesenice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

NK Krka Compare

Top Goalscorer Zur D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meze T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesenice 10 / 100
NK Krka 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesenice NK Krka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KRK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

NK Krka has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Jesenice scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Jesenice remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jesenice VS NK Krka
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesenice

(Home)
23 May
Jesenice
0 : 1
Dravinja
15 May
NK Krka
3 : 2
Jesenice
10 May
Jesenice
2 : 1
Rudar
07 May
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 0
Jesenice
30 Apr
Jesenice
0 : 3
Triglav
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NK Krka

(Away)
22 Jul
Kustosija
4 : 1
NK Krka
18 Jul
NK Krka
2 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
23 May
Jadran Dekani
4 : 3
NK Krka
15 May
NK Krka
3 : 2
Jesenice
10 May
Krsko Posavje
0 : 4
NK Krka
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)