Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jesenice vs Rudar

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Ahmetaj A.
64' Event
Dakic K.
85' Event
Krefl A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Jesenice and Rudar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jesenice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Jesenice
15%
Draws
40%
Rudar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jesenice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rudar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Jesenice taking it.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 15%
Rudar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesenice Rudar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Rudar
2:1
Oct 31, 2025 2. SNL
Rudar vs Jesenice
1:1
Oct 14, 2003 Slovenian Cup
Jesenice vs Rudar
3:1
Oct 1, 2003 Slovenian Cup
Rudar vs Jesenice
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jesenice Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmetaj A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dakic K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Rudar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesenice 41 / 100
Rudar 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesenice Rudar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rudar has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Jesenice went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jesenice's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jesenice VS Rudar
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesenice

(Home)
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
29 Aug
Jesenice
3 : 1
Beltinci
21 Aug
Jadran Dekani
0 : 2
Jesenice
14 Aug
Jesenice
1 : 1
Krsko Posavje
Page 1 of 6

Rudar

(Away)
13 Sept
Rudar
2 : 0
Triglav
04 Sept
Vrhnika
4 : 2
Rudar
29 Aug
Rudar
4 : 1
Bilje
22 Aug
Ilirija
2 : 0
Rudar
14 Aug
Rudar
3 : 0
NK Krka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)