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Jesenice vs Slovan Ljubljana

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ladan T.
58' Event
Kondic I.
61' Event
Tiganj E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Slovan Ljubljana in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slovan Ljubljana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Jesenice
11%
Draws
80%
Slovan Ljubljana
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Slovan Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Jesenice haven't matched Slovan Ljubljana's recent run of results.
  • Slovan Ljubljana are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Slovan Ljubljana have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 11%
Slovan Ljubljana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesenice Slovan Ljubljana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 2. SNL
Slovan Ljubljana vs Jesenice
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Slovan Ljubljana
2:3
Apr 14, 2024 3. SNL - West
Slovan Ljubljana vs Jesenice
2:1
Sep 30, 2023 3. SNL - West
Jesenice vs Slovan Ljubljana
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jesenice Compare

Top Goalscorer Ladan T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Slovan Ljubljana Compare

Top Goalscorer Kondic I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kujovic T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesenice 10 / 100
Slovan Ljubljana 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesenice Slovan Ljubljana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovan Ljubljana let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Jesenice found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Jesenice remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jesenice VS Slovan Ljubljana
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818