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Jesina vs Notaresco Calcio Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Frulla M.
83' Event
Gaetani D.

AI Match Summary

Notaresco Calcio in this Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notaresco Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Jesina
30%
Draws
62%
Notaresco Calcio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Notaresco Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Jesina haven't matched Notaresco Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jesina a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Notaresco Calcio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Jesina Clean Sheet 17%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesina Notaresco Calcio
Matches Played 22 46
Wins 3 19
Draws 2 13
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.09 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Notaresco Calcio
0:2
Sep 15, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Jesina
1:0
Jan 20, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Notaresco Calcio
0:0
Sep 30, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Jesina
2:0
May 20, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Jesina
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jesina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Notaresco Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Frulla M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gaetani D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesina 36 / 100
Notaresco Calcio 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesina Notaresco Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jesina scored in 68% of their last 22 games.

Notaresco Calcio let in goals in 61% of their last 46 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Jesina has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Notaresco Calcio
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesina

(Home)
01 Mar
Jesina
0 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
23 Feb
Matelica
3 : 0
Jesina
16 Feb
Jesina
1 : 1
Pineto
09 Feb
Vastese
2 : 1
Jesina
02 Feb
Jesina
0 : 1
Avezzano
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Notaresco Calcio

(Away)
04 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
0 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1
Pietralunga
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0
Santegidiese
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
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