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Jesina vs Sangiustese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Sun, May 3, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jesina host Sangiustese in the Serie D - Group F 2019/2020. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Sangiustese have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Jesina have conceded 1.86 and scored 1.09. Past meetings favor Jesina slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.19 vs 0.81, favoring Sangiustese. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jesina
15%
Draws
0%
Sangiustese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jesina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Jesina at 1.09 per game, Sangiustese at 0.82.
  • Win probability leans Jesina's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jesina Clean Sheet 20%
Sangiustese Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesina Sangiustese
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 3 3
Draws 2 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.09 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Sangiustese
0:0
Dec 21, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Jesina
1:2
May 5, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Jesina
2:1
Dec 22, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Sangiustese
1:0
Mar 4, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Jesina
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesina 42 / 100
Sangiustese 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesina Sangiustese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sangiustese let in goals in 82% of their last 22 matches.

Sangiustese lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Jesina scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Jesina VS Sangiustese
0.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesina

(Home)
01 Mar
Jesina
0 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
23 Feb
Matelica
3 : 0
Jesina
16 Feb
Jesina
1 : 1
Pineto
09 Feb
Vastese
2 : 1
Jesina
02 Feb
Jesina
0 : 1
Avezzano
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Sangiustese

(Away)
01 Mar
Sangiustese
0 : 1
Montegiorgio
23 Feb
Cattolica Calcio
1 : 0
Sangiustese
16 Feb
Sangiustese
0 : 2
Matelica
09 Feb
Agnonese
3 : 0
Sangiustese
02 Feb
Sangiustese
1 : 2
Vastese
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