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Jeunesse Sportive vs AS Marsa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Chedly Zouiten, Tunis
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jeunesse Sportive host AS Marsa in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Jeunesse Sportive have averaged 0.89 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against AS Marsa's 0.9 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, Jeunesse Sportive have won 0 to AS Marsa's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 12, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.19) back Jeunesse Sportive to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jeunesse Sportive
20%
Draws
40%
AS Marsa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • AS Marsa's 0.9 goals per match outpaces what Jeunesse Sportive have produced (0.89).
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Jeunesse Sportive taking it.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Jeunesse Sportive Clean Sheet 68%
AS Marsa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeunesse Sportive AS Marsa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.89 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Jeunesse Sportive vs AS Marsa
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Jeunesse Sportive
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeunesse Sportive 50 / 100
AS Marsa 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeunesse Sportive AS Marsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jeunesse Sportive Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: AS Marsa conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Jeunesse Sportive has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jeunesse Sportive scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Jeunesse Sportive VS AS Marsa
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeunesse Sportive

(Home)
13 Sept
Jeunesse Sportive
1 : 0
Metlaoui
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1
Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Jeunesse Sportive
3 : 1
Esperance Tunis
22 Aug
PS Sakiet Eddaier
2 : 0
Jeunesse Sportive
24 May
Jeunesse Sportive
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 6

AS Marsa

(Away)
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0
Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
23 Aug
CA Bizertin
1 : 0
AS Marsa
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2
AS Marsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Esperance Tunis 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Ben Guerdane 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
4 CS Sfaxien 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Monastir 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
6 PS Sakiet Eddaier 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 CA Bizertin 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
9 Stade Tunisien 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
10 Etoile Sahel 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 AS Marsa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Zarzis 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
13 Metlaoui 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
14 Olympique Beja 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
15 Hamam-Sousse 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
16 Hammam-Lif 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)