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Jeunesse Sportive vs AS Marsa

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Chedly Zouiten
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jeunesse Sportive play AS Marsa in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jeunesse Sportive averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. AS Marsa averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Jeunesse Sportive won 0, AS Marsa won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Jeunesse Sportive and 0.94 for AS Marsa. This points to a AS Marsa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Jeunesse Sportive
39%
Draws
31%
AS Marsa
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Marsa demonstrates higher offensive output (1.13 avg goals) than Jeunesse Sportive (0.75 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ligue Professionnelle 1 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Jeunesse Sportive Clean Sheet 68%
AS Marsa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeunesse Sportive AS Marsa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Jeunesse Sportive vs AS Marsa
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Jeunesse Sportive
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeunesse Sportive Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahdouani F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

AS Marsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Dao Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arfaoui Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeunesse Sportive 41 / 100
AS Marsa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeunesse Sportive AS Marsa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JSO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeunesse Sportive scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

AS Marsa let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Jeunesse Sportive went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

AS Marsa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jeunesse Sportive VS AS Marsa
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Africain30199243:1066
2Esperance Tunis30189345:1163
3CS Sfaxien30188444:1362
4Stade Tunisien301212628:1448
5Monastir301112728:1945
6Zarzis301181130:2841
7Etoile Sahel301181128:3041
8Metlaoui30913819:2540
9Jeunesse Sportive301061424:3336
10Ben Guerdane308111118:2235
11AS Marsa301121726:3335
12CA Bizertin30891318:2933
13Olympique Beja30951618:3932
14JS Kairouan30941720:4131
15Soliman30691515:3127
16AS Gabes30391811:3718