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Jeunesse Villenavaise vs Cherbourg

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CFA - Group D 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

Jeunesse Villenavaise play Cherbourg in the CFA - Group D 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jeunesse Villenavaise averaged 1 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Cherbourg averaged 1 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Jeunesse Villenavaise won 0, Cherbourg won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 8, 2014 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Jeunesse Villenavaise and 1.50 for Cherbourg. This points to a Cherbourg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Jeunesse Villenavaise
25%
Draws
43%
Cherbourg
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Cherbourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Jeunesse Villenavaise picked up more points recently compared to Cherbourg.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Jeunesse Villenavaise Clean Sheet 16%
Cherbourg Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeunesse Villenavaise Cherbourg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Jeunesse Villenavaise vs Cherbourg
1:1
Oct 19, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Cherbourg vs Jeunesse Villenavaise
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeunesse Villenavaise 32 / 100
Cherbourg 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeunesse Villenavaise Cherbourg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cherbourg or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jeunesse Villenavaise attacking → ← attacking Cherbourg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeunesse Villenavaise scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Cherbourg let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Jeunesse Villenavaise went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cherbourg lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 36
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Avranches30196556:2293
2Saint-Malo30175845:2986
3Les Herbiers301311646:2680
4Nantes II30138931:2377
5Trelissac301281029:2674
6Vitre301191036:3972
7Concarneau301011933:3471
8Stade Bordelais301171229:3670
9Bordeaux II30912933:2569
10Pontivy30991236:3966
11Viry-Chatillon30714927:3465
12Romorantin308101233:3664
13Fontenay30891336:4863
14Cherbourg30891327:4363
15Plabennec306101428:4258
16Jeunesse Villenavaise30681628:5154