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Jevnaker vs Aurskog-Holand

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 2016 game between Jevnaker and Aurskog-Holand finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurskog-Holand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jevnaker
35%
Draws
25%
Aurskog-Holand
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jevnaker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aurskog-Holand come out ahead of Jevnaker on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aurskog-Holand a 25% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jevnaker Clean Sheet 20%
Aurskog-Holand Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jevnaker Aurskog-Holand
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 4 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.8 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2016 Division 3 - Group 3
Jevnaker vs Aurskog-Holand
0:3
Apr 23, 2016 Division 3 - Group 3
Aurskog-Holand vs Jevnaker
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jevnaker 10 / 100
Aurskog-Holand 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jevnaker Aurskog-Holand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurskog-Holand Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurskog-Holand let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Jevnaker found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jevnaker stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jevnaker VS Aurskog-Holand
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jevnaker

(Home)
27 Jan
Honefoss
16 : 0
Jevnaker
22 Oct
Hauerseter
1 : 3
Jevnaker
15 Oct
Jevnaker
3 : 3
Lillestrom 2
08 Oct
Jevnaker
2 : 0
Hallingdal
01 Oct
Sander
2 : 2
Jevnaker
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Aurskog-Holand

(Away)
22 Oct
Aurskog-Holand
4 : 4
Kongsvinger 2
15 Oct
Flisa
2 : 2
Aurskog-Holand
08 Oct
Aurskog-Holand
3 : 0
Ardal
01 Oct
Funnefoss/Vormsund
5 : 0
Aurskog-Holand
27 Sept
Aurskog-Holand
1 : 3
Ull/Kisa 2
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