Sport Picks
Jezero vs Mornar Bar Prediction & H2H Stats
Montenegro
Montenegrin Cup Stadion Pod Racinom, Plav 
Match Events
32'
32'
Sekulic B.
44'
44'
Vukcevic P.
53'
53'
Djurisic M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mornar Bar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Mornar Bar have won more games recently than Jezero.
- Mornar Bar are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Mornar Bar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mornar Bar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Mornar Bar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Jezero Clean Sheet 20%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jezero | Mornar Bar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jezero vs Mornar Bar
0:0
May 24, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jezero vs Mornar Bar
0:2
May 6, 2026 Montenegrin Cup
Jezero vs Mornar Bar
1:2
Apr 22, 2026 Montenegrin Cup
Mornar Bar vs Jezero
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Jezero
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jezero Compare
Top Goalscorer Maksimovic D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Mornar Bar Compare
Top Goalscorer Sekulic B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vukcevic P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jezero 28 / 100
Mornar Bar 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jezero Mornar Bar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mornar Bar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jezero scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Mornar Bar conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Jezero stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jezero VS Mornar Bar
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Jezero
(Home) 20 Sept
Otrant
4 : 1 Jezero
15 Sept
Jezero
1 : 1 Bokelj
10 Sept
Buducnost
3 : 0 Jezero
05 Sept
Jezero
5 : 2 Arsenal Tivat
30 Aug
Decic
2 : 1 Jezero
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Jezero
1 : 1 Bokelj
05 Sept
Jezero
5 : 2 Arsenal Tivat
22 Aug
Jezero
0 : 0 Sutjeska
09 Aug
Jezero
1 : 0 Mladost DG
02 Aug
Jezero
0 : 0 Mornar Bar
Page 1 of 3
Mornar Bar
(Away) 20 Sept
Decic
1 : 1 Mornar Bar
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1 Otrant
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0 Mornar Bar
03 Sept
Mornar Bar
2 : 0 Bokelj
29 Aug
Petrovac
1 : 1 Mornar Bar
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Decic
1 : 1 Mornar Bar
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0 Mornar Bar
29 Aug
Petrovac
1 : 1 Mornar Bar
16 Aug
Mladost DG
2 : 3 Mornar Bar
02 Aug
Jezero
0 : 0 Mornar Bar
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Decic 3
Buducnost 2
Sutjeska 3
Lovcen 1
Jedinstvo 0
Petrovac 2
Otrant 2
Rudar 1
Iskra Danilovgrad 3
Arsenal Tivat 0
Mornar Bar 1
Grbalj 0
Igalo 0
Mladost DG 4
Jezero 4
Bokelj 3
Quarter-finals
Decic 2
Sutjeska 1
Petrovac 2
Otrant 3
Iskra Danilovgrad 0
Mornar Bar 4
Mladost DG 0
Jezero 2
Semi-finals
Decic 3
Otrant 1
Mornar Bar 3
Jezero 1
Final
Decic 0
Mornar Bar 1
