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JFC Viola vs Marupe

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Knope K.
72' Event
Minasyan A.
77' Event
Dobrajs M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Marupe advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
JFC Viola
44%
Draws
20%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • JFC Viola haven't matched Marupe's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Marupe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marupe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
JFC Viola Clean Sheet 13%
Marupe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JFC Viola Marupe
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 0 2
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Latvian Cup
JFC Viola vs Marupe
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JFC Viola Compare

Top Goalscorer Knope K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Minasyan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dobrajs M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JFC Viola 35 / 100
Marupe 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JFC Viola Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JFC Viola scored in 75% of their last 12 games.

Marupe has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Marupe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

JFC Viola VS Marupe
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

JFC Viola

(Home)
30 May
JFC Viola
1 : 2
Marupe
17 May
Livani
4 : 0
JFC Viola
04 May
Bebri
3 : 2
JFC Viola
27 May
JFC Viola
3 : 4
JFK Daugava
13 May
RTU
0 : 3
JFC Viola
Page 1 of 3

Marupe

(Away)
18 Jul
Marupe
0 : 4
FK Metta
12 Jul
Marupe
0 : 1
Grobina
04 Jul
Marupe
2 : 1
FK Smiltene
27 Jun
Riga Mariners
2 : 0
Marupe
19 Jun
Marupe
4 : 2
Aliance
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
RFK/RFS0
Riga Mariners11
Iecava0
Alberts JDFS5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
LSPA1
FK Smiltene5
Valmiera2
Skanste0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ogre United-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
JFC Viola1
Marupe2
Valka1
Aliance5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
Upesciema Warriors0
JFK Ventspils3
DSVK Traktors3
Leevon PPK5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
Lielupe0
FK Metta6
Kekava-Auda2
Rezekne1
Saldus NSS0
Salaspils FK4
Speks6
FK Union / JFK Daugava0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners1
Alberts JDFS0
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Smiltene1
Valmiera4
TBD-
Ogre United-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Marupe4
Aliance2
TBD-
Grobina-
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
JFK Ventspils1
Leevon PPK3
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Metta5
Kekava-Auda0
Salaspils FK1
Speks3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners3
BFC Daugavpils4
Valmiera2
Ogre United4
FK Auda Riga1
FK Liepaja0
Marupe0
Grobina1
Tukums 20001
Super Nova2
RFS2
Jelgava0
Leevon PPK2
Riga FC3
FK Metta3
Speks1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils-
Ogre United-
FK Auda Riga-
Grobina-
Super Nova-
RFS-
Riga FC-
FK Metta-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-