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JFK Ventspils vs AFA Olaine Prediction & H2H Stats

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Nakotnes liga 2025 OC Ventspils stadions, Ventspils
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Match Events

20' Event
Hounlete P.
36' Event
Abedi Rodo Y.
40'
Gueye B.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between JFK Ventspils and AFA Olaine finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward JFK Ventspils.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
JFK Ventspils
20%
Draws
51%
AFA Olaine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFA Olaine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • AFA Olaine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 17%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JFK Ventspils AFA Olaine
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.19 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.72 3.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs AFA Olaine
5:0
Mar 29, 2025 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs JFK Ventspils
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs JFK Ventspils
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs AFA Olaine
2:2
Aug 13, 2023 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs JFK Ventspils
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JFK Ventspils Compare

Top Goalscorer Hounlete P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abedi Rodo Y.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

AFA Olaine Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JFK Ventspils 31 / 100
AFA Olaine 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JFK Ventspils AFA Olaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AFA Olaine conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

JFK Ventspils found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

JFK Ventspils has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

JFK Ventspils VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

JFK Ventspils

(Home)
26 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 0
JFK Ventspils
20 Sept
JFK Ventspils
1 : 0
Skanste
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1
Riga FC 2
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AFA Olaine

(Away)
08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
AFA Olaine
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1
AFA Olaine
18 Oct
AFA Olaine
3 : 0
Skanste
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2
AFA Olaine
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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